TRACK BIAS
Polytrack: Favored stalkers and closers at all distances.
Turf sprints: Fair
Turf routes: Favored closers.
HORSE TO WATCH
7th LUNAR MIST is a very promising filly for Chris Block. She was rank from the beginning, rated behind the leaders in 3rd, moved quickly to the lead despite veering in badly. Once straight she bounded clear. Her breeding and way of going indicate that she should love a route of ground.
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TRIP NOTES RACE ELEVEN
by The Wizard on Saturday, September 26, 2009
#11 MOJITO MAN tracked #9 BULLET FROM ABROAD early, looked that one in the eye at the quarter pole and took the lead. He held a clear lead to the wire. 'ABROAD was able to hold on for the place. #7 BROOKS STAR rated in 4th, came out and finished well for 3rd.
BETTING RACE ELEVEN
by The Wizard on Saturday, September 26, 2009
#9 BULLET FROM ABROAD is an overwhelming favorite, 4-5 with 10 minutes to post.
TRIP NOTES RACE TEN
by The Wizard on Saturday, September 26, 2009
The turf course had favored closers but not this time. Favored #1 TAZZ took the early lead but was soon headed by #4 AGNOSTIC. The latter opened a lead in the lane and held on tenaciously for the win. #1 TAZZ held on for 2nd but could not stay with the winner. #3 WEGGIE rated in 5th on the rail, gained steadily down the lane to get 3rd.
ANALYSIS RACE ELEVEN
by The Wizard on Saturday, September 26, 2009
ANALYSES OF THESE HORSES ARE PLACED IN POST POSITION ORDER. THESE ARE NOT MY SELECTIONS.
RACE 11
2 WHO LET THE CAT IN
Honest 5yo has yet to finish out of the money in 2009 for trainer Richard Scherer while winning 5 of 9 starts. Is well managed allowing for top efforts each race and, although all have come on the dirt, he can score sprinting on the turf today with Razo up.
3 HAPMAN
Toss his last after a poor break but he posted a game second and a win in his previous two starts, both sprinting over this course. Positive rider change today and certainly can prove a factor.
9 BULLET FROM ABROAD
5yo is a perfect 3 for 3 sprinting on the turf here since moving to the barn of Mike Dini, all while facing quality company. Meets a lot of other speed today but still must be considered the main threat.
11 MOJITO MAN
Ran a big race when stepped up to face a 2nd tier allowance field at this distance. He set a fast pace and held well for the place. Strong contender with the move back into a starters allowance.
RACE 11
2 WHO LET THE CAT IN
Honest 5yo has yet to finish out of the money in 2009 for trainer Richard Scherer while winning 5 of 9 starts. Is well managed allowing for top efforts each race and, although all have come on the dirt, he can score sprinting on the turf today with Razo up.
3 HAPMAN
Toss his last after a poor break but he posted a game second and a win in his previous two starts, both sprinting over this course. Positive rider change today and certainly can prove a factor.
9 BULLET FROM ABROAD
5yo is a perfect 3 for 3 sprinting on the turf here since moving to the barn of Mike Dini, all while facing quality company. Meets a lot of other speed today but still must be considered the main threat.
11 MOJITO MAN
Ran a big race when stepped up to face a 2nd tier allowance field at this distance. He set a fast pace and held well for the place. Strong contender with the move back into a starters allowance.
BETTING RACE TEN
by The Wizard on Saturday, September 26, 2009
With 13 minutes to post #1 TAZZ has been hammered down to even money.
TRIP NOTES RACE NINE
by The Wizard on Saturday, September 26, 2009
This race was set up fpr the closers when #3 JONI'S JUSTICE and #6 PISTOL PETE AFLEET dueled though a fast half mile. #2 EIGHTEENTHOFMARCH rated in 4th after a half mile, took the lead when the leaders began to tire then was able to hold off #5 RAVENSWORTH. The latter was far back early, came widest on the turn and was getting to the winner at the wire. #9 REY DEL SOL came from far back to get 3rd.
ANALYSIS RACE TEN
by The Wizard on Saturday, September 26, 2009
ANALYSES OF THESE HORSES ARE PLACED IN POST POSITION ORDER. THESE ARE NOT MY SELECTIONS.
RACE 10
1 TAZZ
3yo has done little wrong for trainer Christine Janks, finishing worse then second only once while winning 2 of 5. Beaten a neck under these same conditions last out but can return to the winner's circle with blinkers off and Emigh riding.
4 AGNOSTIC
3yo was purchased privately since his last start and is now in the Catalano barn. The Cat Man does even better with private acquisitions than he does with new claims. Covered the final quarter in :22 4/5 over this course two starts back.
6 EAT N RUN
4yo ran well on the turf here last summer and returned from a year absence in late July to score back to back wins for Neil Pessin. Can take another step forward today in that crucial third start back.
8 FULL FLAME
3yo has continued to improve since stretching out on the turf here this summer and turned in a career best last out despite missing by 3/4 length. Back at the same conditions today and a major player with Alvarado.
RACE 10
1 TAZZ
3yo has done little wrong for trainer Christine Janks, finishing worse then second only once while winning 2 of 5. Beaten a neck under these same conditions last out but can return to the winner's circle with blinkers off and Emigh riding.
4 AGNOSTIC
3yo was purchased privately since his last start and is now in the Catalano barn. The Cat Man does even better with private acquisitions than he does with new claims. Covered the final quarter in :22 4/5 over this course two starts back.
6 EAT N RUN
4yo ran well on the turf here last summer and returned from a year absence in late July to score back to back wins for Neil Pessin. Can take another step forward today in that crucial third start back.
8 FULL FLAME
3yo has continued to improve since stretching out on the turf here this summer and turned in a career best last out despite missing by 3/4 length. Back at the same conditions today and a major player with Alvarado.
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