*** RACE TEN ANALYSIS *** by The Wizard on Saturday, February 21, 2009

(# 3) DUCLAW 5yo needs frequent breaks but has finished 2nd or better in 10 of his 14 srarts. He survived a roughly run stretch drive to beat a field like this last time. He now goes from Young to Nick Leggio who gives him 8 weeks to reload. Only one recent work but this barn can win off a short layoff. (# 9) SEVENTY TWO RENO 6yo now goes to Bourgeois after being unable to win in his 3 starts for Autrey. Interestingly, the blinkers that Autrey added for those 3 starts come off today. Not a frequent winner but a solid performer that should be in the hunt. (# 2) RUN OVER ME RADE 5yo fires virtually every time and has been a popular item at the claim box. He goes to Herman Ladner following a sharp win under these exact conditions. This is a negative barn switch, but this tough veteran can't be ignored. Goes from Bourque to Campbell. (# 6) ULAH TYSON opened up as the 3-1 favorite dropping back to $5,000. Certainly can win this, but has never run 1st or 2nd in six starts over this course. Solid 3f work Feb 9, best of 15 which indicates his fitness. Will be on or near the early lead. (# 7) GOODBYE EXCAVATE makes 1st start off the Calhoun claim which is always a dangerous angle. Has a good win record. Rider change to Jacinto who forms a deadly trainer and rider combination. VERY TRICKY RACE!