*** RACE THREE ANALYSIS *** by The Wizard on Saturday, February 14, 2009

(# 5)) LUCKY ALEC Afternoon Deelites colt is a half-brother to Fass Feat, a stakes winner of $267K who won his first four starts for these same connections. His other sibling, full sister Missy's Deelite, was also an early winner. Lucky Alec has not missed a beat in his training since early December. He was asked for speed in his Jan. 18 drill and responded by working in :47 4/5 from the gate. That was the best of 63 works that morning. Colt will debut on Lasix for Emile Schwandt who is one of the best in the region with 1st time starters. He has won with 4 of his last 9 1st timers in maiden special company. Lucky Alec's two main contenders both come off debuts in which they got very weary in the stretch. This nicely bred colt is the one to beat. Miguel Mena will take the call. (# 4) Obscurely bred 4yo colt brought just $700 as a yearling but showed that he can run. He was bet down to 2-1 from a line of 5-1 in his debut. He quickly opened a commanding lead while setting strong fractions. Although he entered the final furlong 2 1/2 lengths on top he could not hold on through a slow final eighth. Pat Mouton's runners typically improve the 2nd time out. Three works since raced, the most recent a best-of-63 half mile breeze from the gate last Sunday. (# 1) POLY SAUCE Sent off the favorite in his debut and looked home free when he opened a clear lead over a soft field. The only one chasing him had 28 losses on his record. Although trying his best to hang through a 14 second final furlong, #29 proved to be the charm for his rival. Poly Sauce should show more stamina this time. Has top speed rider Theriot and the rail.